Live prediction market odds for Heat vs. 76ers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-26
This market resolved on 2026-02-26. Philadelphia 76ers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 56%.
nba-mia-phi-2026-02-26 : Sports event: Heat vs. 76ers - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Philadelphia 76ersWINNER | 56% | 55% | 97% |
Miami Heat | 45% | 46% | 11% |
Heat vs. 76ers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Philadelphia 76ers led the market at 69% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 34%.
Philadelphia 76ers held the lead at 69% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Philadelphia 76ers, Miami Heat at 34% were the next closest contenders. The 42.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Philadelphia 76ers: 56¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Miami Heat: 45¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket, 11¢ on ProphetX. The 42.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 69¢ meant the market estimated a 69% chance that Philadelphia 76ers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 69¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 45% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Philadelphia 76ers
69.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Philadelphia wins the Miami at Philadelphia professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
