Live prediction market odds for Bucks vs. Bulls. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-01
This market resolved on 2026-03-01. Chicago Bulls was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-mil-chi-2026-03-01 : Sports event: Bucks vs. Bulls - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Chicago BullsWINNER | 99% | 100% | 99% |
Milwaukee Bucks | 100% | 5% | 4% |
Bucks vs. Bulls was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Chicago Bulls led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 36%.
Chicago Bulls held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Chicago Bulls, Milwaukee Bucks at 36% were the next closest contenders. The 96.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Chicago Bulls: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Milwaukee Bucks: 100¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 96.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Chicago Bulls would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Chicago Bulls
99.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Chicago wins the Milwaukee at Chicago professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
