Live prediction market odds for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-12
This market resolved on 2026-03-12. Miami Heat was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
nba-mil-mia-2026-03-12 : Sports event: Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Miami HeatWINNER | 99% | 71% | 98% |
Milwaukee Bucks | 1% | 30% | 4% |
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Miami Heat led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Milwaukee Bucks at 11%.
Miami Heat held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami Heat, Milwaukee Bucks at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 28.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Miami Heat: 99¢ on Kalshi, 71¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Milwaukee Bucks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 30¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 28.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Miami Heat would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Miami Heat
89.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Milwaukee at Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
