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Sharenba-min-den-2026-03-01 : Sports event: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets - nba
Live prediction market odds for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-01
This market resolved on 2026-03-01. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-min-den-2026-03-01 : Sports event: Timberwolves vs. Nuggets - nba
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 100% | 99% |
Denver Nuggets | 100% | 5% | 3% |
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 99% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Denver Nuggets at 36%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 99% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Denver Nuggets at 36% were the next closest contenders. The 96.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Denver Nuggets: 100¢ on Kalshi, 5¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 96.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 99¢ meant the market estimated a 99% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 99¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 1% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Minnesota Timberwolves
99.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Denver wins the Minnesota at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.