Live prediction market odds for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-15
This market resolved on 2026-03-15. Oklahoma City was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-min-okc-2026-03-15 : Sports event: Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma CityWINNER | 99% | 74% | 99% |
Minnesota Timberwolves | 1% | 27% | 3% |
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Oklahoma City led the market at 91% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Timberwolves at 10%.
Oklahoma City held the lead at 91% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City, Minnesota Timberwolves at 10% were the next closest contenders. The 25.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Oklahoma City: 99¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Minnesota Timberwolves: 1¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 25.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 91¢ meant the market estimated a 91% chance that Oklahoma City would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 91¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 10% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Minnesota at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 15 at 1:00PM ET: If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Oklahoma City
90.6% avg
