Live prediction market odds for Timberwolves vs. Raptors. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-04
This market resolved on 2026-02-04. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
nba-min-tor-2026-02-04 : Sports event: Timberwolves vs. Raptors - nba
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 58% |
Toronto | 1% | 43% |
Timberwolves vs. Raptors was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 78% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto at 22%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 78% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Toronto at 22% were the next closest contenders. The 41.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 58¢ on Polymarket. Toronto: 1¢ on Kalshi, 43¢ on Polymarket. The 41.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 78¢ meant the market estimated a 78% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 78¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 28% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Minnesota Timberwolves
78.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Minnesota at Toronto professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
