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Sharenba-nop-sac-2026-03-05 : Sports event: Pelicans vs. Kings - nba
Live prediction market odds for Pelicans vs. Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-05
This market resolved on 2026-03-05. New Orleans Pelicans was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 67%.
nba-nop-sac-2026-03-05 : Sports event: Pelicans vs. Kings - nba
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
New Orleans PelicansWINNER | 67% | 67% | 97% |
Sacramento Kings | 33% | 34% | 10% |
Pelicans vs. Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New Orleans Pelicans led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento Kings at 26%.
New Orleans Pelicans held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Orleans Pelicans, Sacramento Kings at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 30.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New Orleans Pelicans: 67¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Sacramento Kings: 33¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 30.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that New Orleans Pelicans would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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New Orleans Pelicans
76.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the New Orleans at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.