Live prediction market odds for Thunder vs. Bulls. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-03
This market resolved on 2026-03-03. Oklahoma City Thunder was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 78%.
nba-okc-chi-2026-03-03 : Sports event: Thunder vs. Bulls - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma City ThunderWINNER | 78% | 78% | 97% |
Chicago Bulls | 23% | 23% | 4% |
Thunder vs. Bulls was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Oklahoma City Thunder led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Chicago Bulls at 17%.
Oklahoma City Thunder held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City Thunder, Chicago Bulls at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 19.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Oklahoma City Thunder: 78¢ on Kalshi, 78¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Chicago Bulls: 23¢ on Kalshi, 23¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 19.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Oklahoma City Thunder would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Oklahoma City Thunder
84.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Chicago wins the Oklahoma City at Chicago professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
