Live prediction market odds for Thunder vs. Mavericks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-01
This market resolved on 2026-03-01. Oklahoma City Thunder was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
nba-okc-dal-2026-03-01 : Sports event: Thunder vs. Mavericks - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma City ThunderWINNER | 91% | 90% | 99% |
Dallas Mavericks | 11% | 11% | 2% |
Thunder vs. Mavericks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Oklahoma City Thunder led the market at 93% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 8%.
Oklahoma City Thunder held the lead at 93% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City Thunder, Dallas Mavericks at 8% were the next closest contenders. The 9.6% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Oklahoma City Thunder: 91¢ on Kalshi, 90¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Dallas Mavericks: 11¢ on Kalshi, 11¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on ProphetX. The 9.6% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 93¢ meant the market estimated a 93% chance that Oklahoma City Thunder would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 93¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 8% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Oklahoma City Thunder
93.2% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Oklahoma City wins the Oklahoma City at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
