Live prediction market odds for Thunder vs. Pistons. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-25
This market resolved on 2026-02-25. Detroit Pistons was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 79%.
nba-okc-det-2026-02-25 : Sports event: Thunder vs. Pistons - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Detroit PistonsWINNER | 79% | 79% | 99% |
Oklahoma City Thunder | 21% | 22% | 42% |
Thunder vs. Pistons was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Detroit Pistons led the market at 85% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Oklahoma City Thunder at 28%.
Detroit Pistons held the lead at 85% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Pistons, Oklahoma City Thunder at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 21.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Detroit Pistons: 79¢ on Kalshi, 79¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Oklahoma City Thunder: 21¢ on Kalshi, 22¢ on Polymarket, 42¢ on ProphetX. The 21.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 85¢ meant the market estimated a 85% chance that Detroit Pistons would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 85¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 18% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Detroit Pistons
85.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Detroit wins the Oklahoma City at Detroit professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
