Live prediction market odds for Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Orlando Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-17
This market resolved on 2026-03-17. Oklahoma City was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-okc-orl-2026-03-17 : Sports event: Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Orlando Magic - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Oklahoma CityWINNER | 99% | 81% | 99% |
Orlando | 1% | 20% | 1% |
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Orlando Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Oklahoma City led the market at 93% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando at 7%.
Oklahoma City held the lead at 93% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Oklahoma City, Orlando at 7% were the next closest contenders. The 18.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Oklahoma City: 99¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Orlando: 1¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket, 1¢ on ProphetX. The 18.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 93¢ meant the market estimated a 93% chance that Oklahoma City would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 93¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 8% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Orlando wins the Oklahoma City at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 17 at 7:00PM ET: If the Thunder win, the market will resolve to "Thunder". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Oklahoma City
92.8% avg
