Live prediction market odds for Orlando Magic vs. Atlanta Hawks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-16
This market resolved on 2026-03-16. Atlanta Hawks was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-orl-atl-2026-03-16 : Sports event: Orlando Magic vs. Atlanta Hawks - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Atlanta HawksWINNER | 99% | 55% | 99% |
Orlando | 1% | 45% | 2% |
Orlando Magic vs. Atlanta Hawks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Atlanta Hawks led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando at 16%.
Atlanta Hawks held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Atlanta Hawks, Orlando at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 44.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Atlanta Hawks: 99¢ on Kalshi, 55¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Orlando: 1¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on ProphetX. The 44.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Atlanta Hawks would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Orlando Magic vs. Atlanta Hawks” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Orlando wins the Orlando at Atlanta professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 16 at 7:00PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Atlanta Hawks
84.3% avg
