About This Market
Sharenba-orl-cha-2026-03-19 : Sports event: Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte Hornets - nba
Live prediction market odds for Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte Hornets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-19
This market resolved on 2026-03-19. Charlotte Hornets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
nba-orl-cha-2026-03-19 : Sports event: Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte Hornets - nba
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Charlotte HornetsWINNER | 99% | 68% | 98% |
Orlando | 1% | 33% | 5% |
Orlando Magic vs. Charlotte Hornets was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Charlotte Hornets led the market at 88% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Orlando at 13%.
Charlotte Hornets held the lead at 88% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Charlotte Hornets, Orlando at 13% were the next closest contenders. The 31.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Charlotte Hornets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Orlando: 1¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket, 5¢ on ProphetX. The 31.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 88¢ meant the market estimated a 88% chance that Charlotte Hornets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 88¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 14% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Charlotte wins the Orlando at Charlotte professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 19 at 7:00PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Hornets win, the market will resolve to "Hornets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Charlotte Hornets
88.3% avg