Live prediction market odds for Orlando Magic vs. Dallas Mavericks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-03
This market resolved on 2026-04-03. Orlando was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Orlando Magic vs. Dallas Mavericks — NBA game held on 2026-04-03. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
OrlandoWINNER | 99% | 70% | 99% |
Dallas Mavericks | 1% | 31% | 2% |
Orlando Magic vs. Dallas Mavericks was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Orlando led the market at 89% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Dallas Mavericks at 11%.
Orlando held the lead at 89% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando, Dallas Mavericks at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 29.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Orlando: 99¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Dallas Mavericks: 1¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on ProphetX. The 29.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 89¢ meant the market estimated a 89% chance that Orlando would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 89¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 12% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Orlando wins the Orlando at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 3 at 8:30PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Mavericks win, the market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Orlando
89.2% avg
