About This Market
ShareOrlando Magic vs. New Orleans Pelicans — NBA game held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Orlando Magic vs. New Orleans Pelicans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-05
This market resolved on 2026-04-05. Orlando was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
Orlando Magic vs. New Orleans Pelicans — NBA game held on 2026-04-05. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
OrlandoWINNER | 99% | 67% | 96% |
New Orleans | 1% | 34% | 78% |
Orlando Magic vs. New Orleans Pelicans was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Orlando led the market at 87% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include New Orleans at 38%.
Orlando held the lead at 87% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando, New Orleans at 38% were the next closest contenders. The 77.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Orlando: 99¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. New Orleans: 1¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket, 78¢ on ProphetX. The 77.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 87¢ meant the market estimated a 87% chance that Orlando would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 87¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 15% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the Orlando at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 5 at 7:00PM ET: If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Orlando
87.0% avg