Live prediction market odds for Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-17
This market resolved on 2026-03-17. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-phx-min-2026-03-17 : Sports event: Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 99% | 60% | 99% |
Phoenix | 1% | 41% | 1% |
Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Phoenix at 14%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Phoenix at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 39.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Minnesota Timberwolves: 99¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Phoenix: 1¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket, 1¢ on ProphetX. The 39.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Minnesota wins the Phoenix at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 17 at 8:00PM ET: If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the Timberwolves win, the market will resolve to "Timberwolves". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Minnesota Timberwolves
85.9% avg
