Live prediction market odds for Suns vs. Kings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-03
This market resolved on 2026-03-03. Phoenix Suns was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 77%.
nba-phx-sac-2026-03-03 : Sports event: Suns vs. Kings - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Phoenix SunsWINNER | 77% | 77% | 98% |
Sacramento Kings | 24% | 24% | 3% |
Suns vs. Kings was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Phoenix Suns led the market at 84% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Sacramento Kings at 17%.
Phoenix Suns held the lead at 84% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Phoenix Suns, Sacramento Kings at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 21.9% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Phoenix Suns: 77¢ on Kalshi, 77¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Sacramento Kings: 24¢ on Kalshi, 24¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 21.9% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 84¢ meant the market estimated a 84% chance that Phoenix Suns would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 84¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 19% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Phoenix Suns
84.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Sacramento wins the Phoenix at Sacramento professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
