About This Market
Sharenba-phx-sas-2026-03-19 : Sports event: Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs - nba
Live prediction market odds for Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-19
This market resolved on 2026-03-19. San Antonio was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 81%.
nba-phx-sas-2026-03-19 : Sports event: Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs - nba
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
San AntonioWINNER | 99% | 81% | 50% |
Phoenix | 1% | 20% | 58% |
Phoenix Suns vs. San Antonio Spurs was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). San Antonio led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Phoenix at 26%.
San Antonio held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio, Phoenix at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 57.1% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: San Antonio: 99¢ on Kalshi, 81¢ on Polymarket, 50¢ on ProphetX. Phoenix: 1¢ on Kalshi, 20¢ on Polymarket, 58¢ on ProphetX. The 57.1% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that San Antonio would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Phoenix wins the Phoenix at San Antonio professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 19 at 8:00PM ET: If the Suns win, the market will resolve to "Suns". If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
San Antonio
76.6% avg