Live prediction market odds for Kings vs. Mavericks. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-26
nba-sac-dal-2026-02-26 : Sports event: Kings vs. Mavericks - nba
Dallas Mavericks leads the “Kings vs. Mavericks” event at 49.5% implied probability, followed by Sacramento Kings at 50.8%. A 72.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Kings vs. Mavericks is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Dallas Mavericks leads at 50% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Sacramento Kings at 51%.
Dallas Mavericks currently leads at 50% implied probability. Behind Dallas Mavericks, Sacramento Kings at 51% are the next closest contenders. The 72.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Dallas Mavericks: 73¢ on Kalshi, 74¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on ProphetX. Sacramento Kings: 27¢ on Kalshi, 27¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. The 72.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 50¢ means the market estimates a 50% probability that Dallas Mavericks will be the outcome. Buying one share at 50¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 100% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Dallas Mavericks
49.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Dallas wins the Sacramento at Dallas professional basketball game originally scheduled for Feb 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
