Live prediction market odds for San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-23
This market resolved on 2026-03-23. San Antonio was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat — NBA game held on 2026-03-23. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
San AntonioWINNER | 99% | 60% | 98% |
Miami Heat | 1% | 41% | 4% |
San Antonio Spurs vs. Miami Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). San Antonio led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Miami Heat at 15%.
San Antonio held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind San Antonio, Miami Heat at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 39.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: San Antonio: 99¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Miami Heat: 1¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 39.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that San Antonio would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Miami wins the San Antonio at Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 23 at 7:00PM ET: If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
San Antonio
85.6% avg
