About This Market
Sharenba-tor-den-2026-03-20 : Sports event: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets - nba
Live prediction market odds for Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-20
This market resolved on 2026-03-20. Denver Nuggets was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
nba-tor-den-2026-03-20 : Sports event: Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets - nba
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Denver NuggetsWINNER | 99% | 73% | 98% |
Toronto | 1% | 28% | 6% |
Toronto Raptors vs. Denver Nuggets was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Denver Nuggets led the market at 90% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto at 11%.
Denver Nuggets held the lead at 90% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Denver Nuggets, Toronto at 11% were the next closest contenders. The 26.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Denver Nuggets: 99¢ on Kalshi, 73¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Toronto: 1¢ on Kalshi, 28¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 26.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 90¢ meant the market estimated a 90% chance that Denver Nuggets would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 90¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 11% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Toronto at Denver professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for March 20 at 9:00PM ET: If the Raptors win, the market will resolve to "Raptors". If the Nuggets win, the market will resolve to "Nuggets". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Denver Nuggets
90.0% avg