About This Market
Sharenba-tor-min-2026-03-05 : Sports event: Raptors vs. Timberwolves - nba
Live prediction market odds for Raptors vs. Timberwolves. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-05
This market resolved on 2026-03-05. Minnesota Timberwolves was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 67%.
nba-tor-min-2026-03-05 : Sports event: Raptors vs. Timberwolves - nba
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Minnesota TimberwolvesWINNER | 67% | 67% | 98% |
Toronto Raptors | 34% | 34% | 4% |
Raptors vs. Timberwolves was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Minnesota Timberwolves led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto Raptors at 24%.
Minnesota Timberwolves held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Minnesota Timberwolves, Toronto Raptors at 24% were the next closest contenders. The 31.4% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Minnesota Timberwolves: 67¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Toronto Raptors: 34¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket, 4¢ on ProphetX. The 31.4% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that Minnesota Timberwolves would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Minnesota Timberwolves
77.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Toronto wins the Toronto at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.