Live prediction market odds for Toronto Raptors vs. New Orleans Pelicans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-11
This market resolved on 2026-03-11. New Orleans was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-tor-nop-2026-03-11 : Sports event: Toronto Raptors vs. New Orleans Pelicans - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
New OrleansWINNER | 99% | 44% | 99% |
Toronto | 1% | 57% | 28% |
Toronto Raptors vs. New Orleans Pelicans was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New Orleans led the market at 81% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto at 28%.
New Orleans held the lead at 81% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New Orleans, Toronto at 28% were the next closest contenders. The 55.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New Orleans: 99¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Toronto: 1¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket, 28¢ on ProphetX. The 55.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ meant the market estimated a 81% chance that New Orleans would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 81¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 23% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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New Orleans
80.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the Toronto at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
