Live prediction market odds for Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-04
This market resolved on 2026-04-04. Miami Heat was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat — NBA game held on 2026-04-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Miami HeatWINNER | 99% | 95% | 100% |
Washington | 1% | 6% | 1% |
Washington Wizards vs. Miami Heat was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Miami Heat led the market at 98% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Washington at 3%.
Miami Heat held the lead at 98% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Miami Heat, Washington at 3% were the next closest contenders. The 5.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Miami Heat: 99¢ on Kalshi, 95¢ on Polymarket, 100¢ on ProphetX. Washington: 1¢ on Kalshi, 6¢ on Polymarket, 1¢ on ProphetX. The 5.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 98¢ meant the market estimated a 98% chance that Miami Heat would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 98¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 2% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf Miami wins the Washington at Miami professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 4 at 3:00PM ET: If the Wizards win, the market will resolve to "Wizards". If the Heat win, the market will resolve to "Heat". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Miami Heat
97.7% avg
