Live prediction market odds for Wizards vs. Pelicans. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-08
nba-was-nop-2026-03-08 : Sports event: Wizards vs. Pelicans - nba
New Orleans Pelicans leads the “Wizards vs. Pelicans” event at 81.3% implied probability, followed by Washington Wizards at 20.3%. A 3.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Wizards vs. Pelicans is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). New Orleans Pelicans leads at 81% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Washington Wizards at 20%.
New Orleans Pelicans currently leads at 81% implied probability. Behind New Orleans Pelicans, Washington Wizards at 20% are the next closest contenders. The 3.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: New Orleans Pelicans: 83¢ on Kalshi, 80¢ on Polymarket. Washington Wizards: 20¢ on Kalshi, 21¢ on Polymarket. The 3.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 81¢ means the market estimates a 81% probability that New Orleans Pelicans will be the outcome. Buying one share at 81¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 23% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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New Orleans Pelicans
81.3% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf New Orleans wins the Washington at New Orleans professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
