Live prediction market odds for Wizards vs. Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-03
This market resolved on 2026-03-03. Orlando Magic was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 91%.
nba-was-orl-2026-03-03 : Sports event: Wizards vs. Magic - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Orlando MagicWINNER | 91% | 91% | 99% |
Washington Wizards | 10% | 10% | 2% |
Wizards vs. Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Orlando Magic led the market at 94% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Washington Wizards at 7%.
Orlando Magic held the lead at 94% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando Magic, Washington Wizards at 7% were the next closest contenders. The 8.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Orlando Magic: 91¢ on Kalshi, 91¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Washington Wizards: 10¢ on Kalshi, 10¢ on Polymarket, 2¢ on ProphetX. The 8.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 94¢ meant the market estimated a 94% chance that Orlando Magic would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 94¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 6% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Orlando Magic
93.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Washington at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
