Live prediction market odds for Washington Wizards vs. Orlando Magic. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-12
This market resolved on 2026-03-12. Orlando was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nba-was-orl-2026-03-12 : Sports event: Washington Wizards vs. Orlando Magic - nba
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
OrlandoWINNER | 99% | 90% | 99% |
Washington | 1% | 11% | 10% |
Washington Wizards vs. Orlando Magic was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Orlando led the market at 96% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Washington at 7%.
Orlando held the lead at 96% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Orlando, Washington at 7% were the next closest contenders. The 9.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Orlando: 99¢ on Kalshi, 90¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. Washington: 1¢ on Kalshi, 11¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 9.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 96¢ meant the market estimated a 96% chance that Orlando would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 96¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 4% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Orlando
95.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Washington wins the Washington at Orlando professional basketball game originally scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
