About This Market
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Live prediction market odds for Netherlands vs Namibia. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Live prediction market odds for Netherlands vs Namibia. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-17
This market resolved on 2026-02-17. Netherlands was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 83%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
NetherlandsWINNER | 99% | 67% |
Namibia | 1% | 33% |
Netherlands vs Namibia was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Netherlands led the market at 83% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Namibia at 17%.
Netherlands held the lead at 83% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Netherlands, Namibia at 17% were the next closest contenders. The 32.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Netherlands: 99¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket. Namibia: 1¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket. The 32.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 83¢ meant the market estimated a 83% chance that Netherlands would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 83¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 20% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Namibia is the winner of the Netherlands vs Namibia professional Men's T20 World Cup Cricket match originally scheduled for Feb 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Netherlands
83.0% avg