Live prediction market odds for NFL Offensive Player of the Year. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-18
This market resolved on 2026-02-18. Jaxon Smith-Njigba was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaWINNER | 99% | 100% |
A.J. Brown | 1% | 50% |
Amon-Ra St. Brown | 1% | 50% |
Ashton Jeanty | 1% | 50% |
Bijan Robinson | 1% | 50% |
Brock Bowers | 1% | 50% |
Bucky Irving | 1% | 50% |
CeeDee Lamb | 1% | 50% |
Christian McCaffrey | 1% | 50% |
De'Von Achane | 1% | 50% |
Derrick Henry | 1% | 50% |
Drake London | 1% | 50% |
Drake Maye | 1% | 50% |
Ja'Marr Chase | 1% | 50% |
Jahmyr Gibbs | 1% | 50% |
James Cook | 1% | 50% |
Jayden Daniels | 1% | 50% |
Joe Burrow | 1% | 50% |
Jonathan Taylor | 1% | 50% |
Josh Allen | 1% | 50% |
Justin Jefferson | 1% | 50% |
Lamar Jackson | 1% | 50% |
Malik Nabers | 1% | 50% |
Nico Collins | 1% | 50% |
Puka Nacua | 1% | 50% |
Saquon Barkley | 1% | 50% |
Tyreek Hill | 1% | 50% |
NFL Offensive Player of the Year was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Jaxon Smith-Njigba led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include A.J. Brown at 26%, Amon-Ra St. Brown at 26%, Ashton Jeanty at 26%.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Jaxon Smith-Njigba, A.J. Brown at 26% and Amon-Ra St. Brown at 26% and Ashton Jeanty at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. A.J. Brown: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Amon-Ra St. Brown: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Ashton Jeanty: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that Jaxon Smith-Njigba would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Jaxon Smith-Njigba
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Saquon Barkley wins the Pro football AP Offensive Player of the Year in the 2025-26 season, then the market resolves to Yes.
