About This Market
ShareBoston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning — NHL game held on 2026-04-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
Live prediction market odds for Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-04-04
This market resolved on 2026-04-04. TB Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning — NHL game held on 2026-04-04. Review the historical prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 63% | 98% |
Boston Bruins | 1% | 38% | 9% |
Boston Bruins vs. Tampa Bay Lightning was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). TB Lightning led the market at 87% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Boston Bruins at 16%.
TB Lightning held the lead at 87% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TB Lightning, Boston Bruins at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 36.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Boston Bruins: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket, 9¢ on ProphetX. The 36.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 87¢ meant the market estimated a 87% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 87¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 15% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf BOS Bruins wins the Boston at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Apr 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 4 at 5:00PM ET: If the Bruins win, the market will resolve to "Bruins". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
TB Lightning
86.5% avg