Live prediction market odds for Sabres vs. Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-02-28
nhl-buf-tb-2026-02-28 : Sports event: Sabres vs. Lightning - nhl
Tampa Bay Lightning leads the “Sabres vs. Lightning” event at 48.1% implied probability, followed by Buffalo Sabres at 52.6%. A 65.7% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Sabres vs. Lightning is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Tampa Bay Lightning leads at 48% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Buffalo Sabres at 53%.
Tampa Bay Lightning currently leads at 48% implied probability. Behind Tampa Bay Lightning, Buffalo Sabres at 53% are the next closest contenders. The 65.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Tampa Bay Lightning: 69¢ on Kalshi, 70¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. Buffalo Sabres: 31¢ on Kalshi, 31¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. The 65.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 48¢ means the market estimates a 48% probability that Tampa Bay Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 48¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 108% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Tampa Bay Lightning
48.1% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Buffalo at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
