About This Market
Sharenhl-cal-det-2026-03-16 : Sports event: Calgary Flames vs. Detroit Red Wings - nhl
Live prediction market odds for Calgary Flames vs. Detroit Red Wings. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-16
This market resolved on 2026-03-16. Detroit Red Wings was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
nhl-cal-det-2026-03-16 : Sports event: Calgary Flames vs. Detroit Red Wings - nhl
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
Detroit Red WingsWINNER | 99% | 62% | 98% |
Calgary Flames | 1% | 39% | 6% |
Calgary Flames vs. Detroit Red Wings was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Detroit Red Wings led the market at 86% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Calgary Flames at 15%.
Detroit Red Wings held the lead at 86% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Detroit Red Wings, Calgary Flames at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 37.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Detroit Red Wings: 99¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Calgary Flames: 1¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 37.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 86¢ meant the market estimated a 86% chance that Detroit Red Wings would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 86¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 16% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf CGY Flames wins the Calgary at Detroit professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 16 at 7:00PM ET: If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the Red Wings win, the market will resolve to "Red Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
Detroit Red Wings
86.2% avg