Live prediction market odds for Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-12
This market resolved on 2026-03-12. TB Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 95%.
nhl-det-tb-2026-03-12 : Sports event: Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 68% | 95% |
Detroit Red Wings | 1% | 33% | 10% |
Detroit Red Wings vs. Tampa Bay Lightning was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). TB Lightning led the market at 87% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Detroit Red Wings at 15%.
TB Lightning held the lead at 87% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TB Lightning, Detroit Red Wings at 15% were the next closest contenders. The 31.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket, 95¢ on ProphetX. Detroit Red Wings: 1¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket, 10¢ on ProphetX. The 31.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 87¢ meant the market estimated a 87% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 87¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 15% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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TB Lightning
87.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf DET Red Wings wins the Detroit at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 12, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
