Live prediction market odds for Maple Leafs vs. Rangers. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-05
This market resolved on 2026-03-05. New York Rangers was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 76%.
nhl-tor-nyr-2026-03-05 : Sports event: Maple Leafs vs. Rangers - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
New York RangersWINNER | 55% | — | 97% |
Toronto Maple Leafs | 45% | 46% | 8% |
Maple Leafs vs. Rangers was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). New York Rangers led the market at 76% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto Maple Leafs at 33%.
New York Rangers held the lead at 76% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind New York Rangers, Toronto Maple Leafs at 33% were the next closest contenders. The 42.2% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: New York Rangers: 55¢ on Kalshi, 97¢ on ProphetX. Toronto Maple Leafs: 45¢ on Kalshi, 46¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 42.2% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 76¢ meant the market estimated a 76% chance that New York Rangers would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 76¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 32% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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New York Rangers
75.6% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TOR Maple Leafs wins the Toronto at New York R professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
