Live prediction market odds for Maple Leafs vs. Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
Join our Discord for breaking news alerts, driven by real-time movements in prediction markets.
MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-25
This market resolved on 2026-02-25. Tampa Bay Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 67%.
nhl-tor-tb-2026-02-25 : Sports event: Maple Leafs vs. Lightning - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Tampa Bay LightningWINNER | 67% | 67% | 97% |
Toronto Maple Leafs | 34% | 34% | 8% |
Maple Leafs vs. Lightning was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Tampa Bay Lightning led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Toronto Maple Leafs at 25%.
Tampa Bay Lightning held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Tampa Bay Lightning, Toronto Maple Leafs at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 31.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Tampa Bay Lightning: 67¢ on Kalshi, 67¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. Toronto Maple Leafs: 34¢ on Kalshi, 34¢ on Polymarket, 8¢ on ProphetX. The 31.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that Tampa Bay Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
Build a custom bot or arb alert system for the “Maple Leafs vs. Lightning” event. All for free.
As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
Used by builders and traders in our 2K+ Discord community
Tampa Bay Lightning
77.0% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf TOR Maple Leafs wins the Toronto at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Feb 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
