Live prediction market odds for New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-17
This market resolved on 2026-03-17. NYI Islanders was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 96%.
nhl-nyi-tor-2026-03-17 : Sports event: New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
NYI IslandersWINNER | 99% | 59% | 96% |
TOR Maple Leafs | 1% | 42% | 6% |
New York Islanders vs. Toronto Maple Leafs was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). NYI Islanders led the market at 85% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include TOR Maple Leafs at 16%.
NYI Islanders held the lead at 85% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind NYI Islanders, TOR Maple Leafs at 16% were the next closest contenders. The 40.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: NYI Islanders: 99¢ on Kalshi, 59¢ on Polymarket, 96¢ on ProphetX. TOR Maple Leafs: 1¢ on Kalshi, 42¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 40.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 85¢ meant the market estimated a 85% chance that NYI Islanders would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 85¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 18% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf NYI Islanders wins the New York I at Toronto professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 17 at 7:00PM ET: If the Islanders win, the market will resolve to "Islanders". If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
NYI Islanders
84.5% avg
