Live prediction market odds for Senators vs. Flames. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-05
nhl-ott-cal-2026-03-05 : Sports event: Senators vs. Flames - nhl
Ottawa Senators leads the “Senators vs. Flames” event at 70.5% implied probability, followed by Calgary Flames at 30.1%. A 26.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Senators vs. Flames is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Ottawa Senators leads at 71% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Calgary Flames at 30%.
Ottawa Senators currently leads at 71% implied probability. Behind Ottawa Senators, Calgary Flames at 30% are the next closest contenders. The 26.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Ottawa Senators: 62¢ on Kalshi, 62¢ on Polymarket, 88¢ on ProphetX. Calgary Flames: 39¢ on Kalshi, 39¢ on Polymarket, 13¢ on ProphetX. The 26.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 71¢ means the market estimates a 71% probability that Ottawa Senators will be the outcome. Buying one share at 71¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 41% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Ottawa Senators
70.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf CGY Flames wins the Ottawa at Calgary professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
