Live prediction market odds for Ottawa Senators vs. Washington Capitals. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-18
This market resolved on 2026-03-18. WSH Capitals was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 93%.
nhl-ott-wsh-2026-03-18 : Sports event: Ottawa Senators vs. Washington Capitals - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
WSH CapitalsWINNER | 99% | 45% | 93% |
OTT Senators | 1% | 56% | 12% |
Ottawa Senators vs. Washington Capitals was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). WSH Capitals led the market at 79% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include OTT Senators at 23%.
WSH Capitals held the lead at 79% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind WSH Capitals, OTT Senators at 23% were the next closest contenders. The 54.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: WSH Capitals: 99¢ on Kalshi, 45¢ on Polymarket, 93¢ on ProphetX. OTT Senators: 1¢ on Kalshi, 56¢ on Polymarket, 12¢ on ProphetX. The 54.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 79¢ meant the market estimated a 79% chance that WSH Capitals would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 79¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 27% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf WSH Capitals wins the Ottawa at Washington professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 18 at 7:30PM ET: If the Senators win, the market will resolve to "Senators". If the Capitals win, the market will resolve to "Capitals". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
WSH Capitals
78.7% avg
