About This Market
Sharenhl-pit-col-2026-03-16 : Sports event: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Colorado Avalanche - nhl
Live prediction market odds for Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Colorado Avalanche. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-16
This market resolved on 2026-03-16. PIT Penguins was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 98%.
nhl-pit-col-2026-03-16 : Sports event: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Colorado Avalanche - nhl
| Candidate | ![]() | ![]() | ![]() |
|---|---|---|---|
PIT PenguinsWINNER | 99% | 33% | 98% |
Colorado Avalanche | 1% | 68% | 6% |
Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Colorado Avalanche was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). PIT Penguins led the market at 77% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Colorado Avalanche at 25%.
PIT Penguins held the lead at 77% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind PIT Penguins, Colorado Avalanche at 25% were the next closest contenders. The 66.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: PIT Penguins: 99¢ on Kalshi, 33¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Colorado Avalanche: 1¢ on Kalshi, 68¢ on Polymarket, 6¢ on ProphetX. The 66.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 77¢ meant the market estimated a 77% chance that PIT Penguins would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 77¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 30% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf PIT Penguins wins the Pittsburgh at Colorado professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 16 at 9:30PM ET: If the Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Penguins". If the Avalanche win, the market will resolve to "Avalanche". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
PIT Penguins
76.5% avg