Live prediction market odds for Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-26
Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning — NHL game scheduled for 2026-03-26. Compare live prediction market odds from Kalshi, Polymarket, and more on Prediction Hunt.
TB Lightning leads the “Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning” event at 44.6% implied probability, followed by SEA Kraken at 59.0%. A 70.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Seattle Kraken vs. Tampa Bay Lightning is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). TB Lightning leads at 45% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include SEA Kraken at 59%.
TB Lightning currently leads at 45% implied probability. Behind TB Lightning, SEA Kraken at 59% are the next closest contenders. The 70.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: TB Lightning: 1¢ on Kalshi, 72¢ on Polymarket, 61¢ on ProphetX. SEA Kraken: 99¢ on Kalshi, 29¢ on Polymarket, 50¢ on ProphetX. The 70.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 45¢ means the market estimates a 45% probability that TB Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 45¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 122% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf SEA Kraken wins the Seattle at Tampa Bay professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 26 at 7:00PM ET: If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
TB Lightning
44.6% avg
