Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-22
nhl-tb-cal-2026-03-22 : Sports event: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames - nhl
TB Lightning leads the “Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames” event at 39.8% implied probability, followed by Calgary Flames at 62.4%. A 59.5% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Calgary Flames is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). TB Lightning leads at 40% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Calgary Flames at 62%.
TB Lightning currently leads at 40% implied probability. Behind TB Lightning, Calgary Flames at 62% are the next closest contenders. The 59.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: TB Lightning: 1¢ on Kalshi, 61¢ on Polymarket, 58¢ on ProphetX. Calgary Flames: 99¢ on Kalshi, 40¢ on Polymarket, 49¢ on ProphetX. The 59.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 40¢ means the market estimates a 40% probability that TB Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 40¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 150% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf CGY Flames wins the Tampa Bay at Calgary professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 22 at 8:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Flames win, the market will resolve to "Flames". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
TB Lightning
39.8% avg
