Live prediction market odds for Lightning vs. Wild. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-03
nhl-tb-min-2026-03-03 : Sports event: Lightning vs. Wild - nhl
Tampa Bay Lightning leads the “Lightning vs. Wild” event at 41.7% implied probability, followed by Minnesota Wild at 60.2%. A 49.7% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Lightning vs. Wild is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Tampa Bay Lightning leads at 42% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Minnesota Wild at 60%.
Tampa Bay Lightning currently leads at 42% implied probability. Behind Tampa Bay Lightning, Minnesota Wild at 60% are the next closest contenders. The 49.7% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Tampa Bay Lightning: 57¢ on Kalshi, 57¢ on Polymarket, 12¢ on ProphetX. Minnesota Wild: 44¢ on Kalshi, 44¢ on Polymarket, 93¢ on ProphetX. The 49.7% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 42¢ means the market estimates a 42% probability that Tampa Bay Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 42¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 138% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Tampa Bay Lightning
41.7% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf MIN Wild wins the Tampa Bay at Minnesota professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
