Live prediction market odds for Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Seattle Kraken. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-17
This market resolved on 2026-03-17. TB Lightning was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 99%.
nhl-tb-sea-2026-03-17 : Sports event: Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Seattle Kraken - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
TB LightningWINNER | 99% | 63% | 99% |
SEA Kraken | 1% | 38% | 3% |
Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Seattle Kraken was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). TB Lightning led the market at 87% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include SEA Kraken at 14%.
TB Lightning held the lead at 87% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TB Lightning, SEA Kraken at 14% were the next closest contenders. The 36.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: TB Lightning: 99¢ on Kalshi, 63¢ on Polymarket, 99¢ on ProphetX. SEA Kraken: 1¢ on Kalshi, 38¢ on Polymarket, 3¢ on ProphetX. The 36.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 87¢ meant the market estimated a 87% chance that TB Lightning would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 87¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 15% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf TB Lightning wins the Tampa Bay at Seattle professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 17 at 10:00PM ET: If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the Kraken win, the market will resolve to "Kraken". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
TB Lightning
86.8% avg
