Live prediction market odds for Lightning vs. Jets. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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Kalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
2026-03-05
nhl-tb-wpg-2026-03-05 : Sports event: Lightning vs. Jets - nhl
Tampa Bay Lightning leads the “Lightning vs. Jets” event at 45.8% implied probability, followed by Winnipeg Jets at 55.9%. A 62.3% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Lightning vs. Jets is a prediction market event currently tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Tampa Bay Lightning leads at 46% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Winnipeg Jets at 56%.
Tampa Bay Lightning currently leads at 46% implied probability. Behind Tampa Bay Lightning, Winnipeg Jets at 56% are the next closest contenders. The 62.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Tampa Bay Lightning: 66¢ on Kalshi, 65¢ on Polymarket, 7¢ on ProphetX. Winnipeg Jets: 35¢ on Kalshi, 36¢ on Polymarket, 97¢ on ProphetX. The 62.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 46¢ means the market estimates a 46% probability that Tampa Bay Lightning will be the outcome. Buying one share at 46¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 117% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Tampa Bay Lightning
45.8% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf WPG Jets wins the Tampa Bay at Winnipeg professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
