Live prediction market odds for Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota Wild. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-03-15
This market resolved on 2026-03-15. TOR Maple Leafs was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 94%.
nhl-tor-min-2026-03-15 : Sports event: Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota Wild - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
TOR Maple LeafsWINNER | 99% | 32% | 94% |
Minnesota Wild | 1% | 69% | 77% |
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Minnesota Wild was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). TOR Maple Leafs led the market at 75% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Minnesota Wild at 49%.
TOR Maple Leafs held the lead at 75% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind TOR Maple Leafs, Minnesota Wild at 49% were the next closest contenders. The 75.5% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: TOR Maple Leafs: 99¢ on Kalshi, 32¢ on Polymarket, 94¢ on ProphetX. Minnesota Wild: 1¢ on Kalshi, 69¢ on Polymarket, 77¢ on ProphetX. The 75.5% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 75¢ meant the market estimated a 75% chance that TOR Maple Leafs would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 75¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 33% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
KalshiIf MIN Wild wins the Toronto at Minnesota professional hockey game scheduled for Mar 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
PolymarketIn the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for March 15 at 7:30PM ET: If the Maple Leafs win, the market will resolve to "Maple Leafs". If the Wild win, the market will resolve to "Wild". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
ProphetXSports moneyline - resolves based on official game outcome per ProphetX Prediction Rules
TOR Maple Leafs
74.8% avg
