Live prediction market odds for Capitals vs. Canadiens. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket and ProphetX.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket / ProphetX
Resolved 2026-02-28
This market resolved on 2026-02-28. Montreal Canadiens was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 60%.
nhl-wsh-mon-2026-02-28 : Sports event: Capitals vs. Canadiens - nhl
| Candidate |  |  |  |
|---|---|---|---|
Montreal CanadiensWINNER | 60% | 60% | 98% |
Washington Capitals | 40% | 41% | 7% |
Capitals vs. Canadiens was a prediction market event tracked across 3 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX). Montreal Canadiens led the market at 72% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Washington Capitals at 29%.
Montreal Canadiens held the lead at 72% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind Montreal Canadiens, Washington Capitals at 29% were the next closest contenders. The 38.3% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket, ProphetX: Montreal Canadiens: 60¢ on Kalshi, 60¢ on Polymarket, 98¢ on ProphetX. Washington Capitals: 40¢ on Kalshi, 41¢ on Polymarket, 7¢ on ProphetX. The 38.3% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 72¢ meant the market estimated a 72% chance that Montreal Canadiens would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 72¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 39% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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As seen on Financial Times and Polymark.et
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Montreal Canadiens
72.4% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf MTL Canadiens wins the Washington at Montreal professional hockey game scheduled for Feb 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
