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Live prediction market odds for Osasuna vs Real Madrid. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Live prediction market odds for Osasuna vs Real Madrid. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-02-21
This market resolved on 2026-02-21. CA Osasuna was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
This market has resolved.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
CA OsasunaWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Osasuna | 99% | 100% |
Real Madrid | 1% | 50% |
Real Madrid CF | 1% | 50% |
Osasuna vs Real Madrid was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). CA Osasuna led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Osasuna at 100%, Real Madrid at 26%, Real Madrid CF at 26%.
CA Osasuna held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind CA Osasuna, Osasuna at 100% and Real Madrid at 26% and Real Madrid CF at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here were the closing odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: CA Osasuna: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Osasuna: 99¢ on Kalshi, 100¢ on Polymarket. Real Madrid: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Real Madrid CF: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 49.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagreed — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 100¢ meant the market estimated a 100% chance that CA Osasuna would be the outcome. Traders who bought at 100¢ and held through resolution received $1.00 per share — a 0% return on their position. Those on the wrong side received $0.
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CA Osasuna
99.5% avg
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Osasuna wins the Osasuna vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
The following market refers to the Osasuna vs Real Madrid professional La Liga soccer game originally scheduled for Feb 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties). If the game ends in a tie, the market called "Tie" resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.