Live prediction market odds for Oscars 2026: Best Animated Feature Film Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-15
This market resolved on 2026-03-15. KPop Demon Hunters was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Prediction markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the winner of the Best Animated Feature Film at the 2026 Oscars. This category garners attention as it highlights the creativity and innovation in animated storytelling, influencing industry trends and audience preferences.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
KPop Demon HuntersWINNER | 99% | 100% |
Arco | 1% | 50% |
Elio | 1% | 50% |
Zootopia 2 | 1% | 50% |
Odds can be influenced by critical reception, box office performance, and audience popularity. Additionally, industry awards leading up to the Oscars can sway perceptions and betting behavior.
Prediction markets allow participants to buy and sell shares based on their expectations of outcomes, such as award winners. Prices reflect the collective sentiment and insights of market participants.
This category showcases advancements in animation techniques and storytelling, reflecting broader trends in the film industry. Winning can elevate a studio's reputation and impact future projects.
Oscars 2026: Best Animated Feature Film Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). KPop Demon Hunters led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Arco at 26%, Elio at 26%, Zootopia 2 at 26%.
KPop Demon Hunters held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind KPop Demon Hunters, Arco at 26% and Elio at 26% and Zootopia 2 at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf Arco has won Best Animated Feature at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. Any references to the Academy Awards, the Oscars®, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences and Kalshi.** The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.
PolymarketThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Animated Feature Film when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
KPop Demon Hunters
99.5% avg
