Live prediction market odds for Oscars 2026: Best Sound Winner. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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MARKET RESOLVEDKalshi / Polymarket
Resolved 2026-03-15
This market resolved on 2026-03-15. F1 was the officially declared outcome. Prior to resolution, the market peaked at 100%.
Polymarket and Kalshi are tracking the Best Sound winner for the 2026 Oscars. This award highlights the technical achievements in film sound design, influencing industry recognition and future projects for the winning film and its creators.
| Candidate |  |  |
|---|---|---|
F1WINNER | 99% | 100% |
Frankenstein | 1% | 50% |
One Battle after Another | 1% | 50% |
Sinners | 1% | 50% |
Odds are influenced by critical reviews, industry awards leading up to the Oscars, and the overall popularity of the films. Additionally, trends in sound technology and innovation can sway predictions.
Winning the Best Sound award can enhance a film's prestige and visibility, potentially leading to increased box office revenue. It also opens up opportunities for future projects for the sound team involved.
The Oscars 2026 ceremony is scheduled for March 15, 2026. This date marks a key moment in the film industry, celebrating achievements from the previous year.
Oscars 2026: Best Sound Winner was a prediction market event tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). F1 led the market at 100% implied probability before resolution. Other contenders include Frankenstein at 26%, One Battle after Another at 26%, Sinners at 26%.
F1 held the lead at 100% implied probability heading into resolution. Behind F1, Frankenstein at 26% and One Battle after Another at 26% and Sinners at 26% were the next closest contenders. The 49.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
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Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi and Polymarket.
KalshiIf F1 has won Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
**This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. Any references to the Academy Awards, the Oscars®, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences and Kalshi.** The 98th Academy Awards are expected to be held on March 15, 2026.
PolymarketThe Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed movie that wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Sound. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Score when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
F1
99.5% avg
