Live prediction market odds for Puerto Rico Open Winner?. Compare prices across Kalshi and Polymarket.
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Kalshi / Polymarket
2026-03-08
Hao-Tong Li leads the “Puerto Rico Open Winner” event at 26.5% implied probability. Other contenders include Adrien Saddier (25.5%), Cameron Champ (25.5%), Chad Ramey (25.5%), and Chase Sienkiewicz (25.5%). A 50.0% cross-platform spread signals an active arbitrage window.
Puerto Rico Open Winner is a prediction market event currently tracked across 2 platforms (Kalshi, Polymarket). Hao-Tong Li leads at 27% implied probability, making it the market favorite. Other contenders include Adrien Saddier at 26%, Cameron Champ at 26%, Chad Ramey at 26%.
Hao-Tong Li currently leads at 27% implied probability. Behind Hao-Tong Li, Adrien Saddier at 26% and Cameron Champ at 26% and Chad Ramey at 26% are the next closest contenders. The 50.0% cross-platform spread suggested platforms were pricing new information differently, creating potential trading opportunities.
Here are the latest odds across Kalshi, Polymarket: Hao-Tong Li: 3¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Adrien Saddier: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Cameron Champ: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. Chad Ramey: 1¢ on Kalshi, 50¢ on Polymarket. The 50.0% spread across platforms highlights where markets disagree — a gap traders can exploit by buying low on one platform and selling high on another.
A price of 27¢ means the market estimates a 27% probability that Hao-Tong Li will be the outcome. Buying one share at 27¢ pays out $1.00 if correct — a 270% return — or $0 if wrong. This is the core mechanic of prediction markets: the price directly reflects the crowd's probability estimate.
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Hao-Tong Li
Official settlement criteria, resolution sources, and edge cases across Kalshi.
KalshiIf Fred Biondi wins the Puerto Rico Open, then the market resolves to Yes.
26.5% avg
